I have analyzed college basketball data to try to determine which teams are 'best' and predict game outcomes. There are a lot of ways to go about ranking teams - here I give a few very simple metrics. The data used here is just final scores - analysis of other game data is not available here.
Simple linear regression can be used evualate teams pretty well. Each team has an offense and defense coefficient. If team A plays team B, team A's score is predicted by an intercept (based on home/away) plus team A's offense coefficient plus team B's defense coefficient. The coefficients of all teams are set to minimize mean squared error of predicted scores across all games. A team's overall score is its offense score minus defense score. A team's 'variance' is the (overall) mean squared error for games that team played in.
Team | W | L | Overall | Offense | Defense | Variance | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oregon | 31 | 2 | 40.819 | 28.316 | -12.503 | 137.1 |
2 | Baylor | 28 | 2 | 39.559 | 20.886 | -18.673 | 123.1 |
3 | South Carolina | 32 | 1 | 39.477 | 23.151 | -16.325 | 131.6 |
4 | Maryland | 28 | 4 | 37.686 | 23.976 | -13.710 | 225.6 |
5 | Connecticut | 29 | 3 | 36.275 | 18.681 | -17.594 | 154.8 |
6 | Mississippi St | 27 | 6 | 28.343 | 19.560 | -8.783 | 156.7 |
7 | Louisville | 28 | 4 | 26.793 | 12.292 | -14.501 | 121.8 |
8 | Stanford | 27 | 6 | 26.712 | 14.480 | -12.232 | 141.7 |
9 | Indiana | 24 | 8 | 26.128 | 13.610 | -12.518 | 117.2 |
10 | Oregon St | 23 | 9 | 24.572 | 11.867 | -12.705 | 95.3 |
11 | Princeton | 26 | 1 | 24.498 | 7.600 | -16.898 | 87.8 |
12 | Northwestern | 26 | 4 | 24.328 | 9.965 | -14.363 | 152.9 |
13 | South Dakota | 29 | 2 | 24.113 | 13.974 | -10.139 | 144.4 |
14 | Arkansas | 24 | 8 | 23.898 | 22.946 | -0.952 | 151.3 |
15 | NC State | 28 | 4 | 23.630 | 11.904 | -11.726 | 93.0 |
16 | Florida St | 24 | 8 | 21.843 | 13.398 | -8.445 | 102.5 |
17 | Texas A&M | 22 | 8 | 21.806 | 10.859 | -10.947 | 103.3 |
18 | Kentucky | 22 | 8 | 21.633 | 12.047 | -9.586 | 138.3 |
19 | UCLA | 26 | 5 | 21.606 | 14.116 | -7.490 | 105.1 |
20 | Arizona | 24 | 7 | 21.459 | 8.133 | -13.326 | 115.9 |
21 | Iowa | 23 | 7 | 20.904 | 19.335 | -1.569 | 172.1 |
22 | Ohio St | 21 | 12 | 20.206 | 12.682 | -7.524 | 146.4 |
23 | DePaul | 28 | 5 | 19.902 | 24.653 | 4.751 | 80.1 |
24 | Gonzaga | 28 | 3 | 19.852 | 5.101 | -14.751 | 89.2 |
25 | Michigan | 21 | 11 | 18.702 | 11.119 | -7.583 | 102.8 |
26 | FL Gulf Coast | 27 | 3 | 18.024 | 13.331 | -4.692 | 99.1 |
27 | Rutgers | 22 | 9 | 17.950 | 5.676 | -12.274 | 91.5 |
28 | Georgia Tech | 20 | 11 | 17.748 | 1.394 | -16.354 | 135.4 |
29 | Iowa St | 18 | 11 | 17.623 | 10.861 | -6.763 | 123.5 |
30 | Arizona St | 20 | 11 | 17.109 | 5.996 | -11.113 | 95.5 |
31 | Duke | 18 | 12 | 17.104 | 8.951 | -8.153 | 132.8 |
32 | Virginia Tech | 21 | 9 | 17.004 | 11.119 | -5.885 | 98.2 |
33 | TCU | 22 | 7 | 16.987 | 10.522 | -6.465 | 75.6 |
34 | Tennessee | 21 | 10 | 16.978 | 9.040 | -7.938 | 141.6 |
35 | James Madison | 25 | 4 | 16.307 | 7.574 | -8.733 | 126.1 |
36 | Alabama | 18 | 12 | 16.285 | 11.318 | -4.967 | 157.2 |
37 | Texas | 19 | 11 | 16.131 | 9.493 | -6.638 | 172.1 |
38 | Missouri St | 25 | 4 | 15.996 | 13.777 | -2.218 | 94.6 |
39 | Drake | 21 | 8 | 15.512 | 19.092 | 3.580 | 104.3 |
40 | Marquette | 24 | 8 | 14.994 | 7.498 | -7.495 | 99.9 |
41 | Seton Hall | 19 | 12 | 14.663 | 12.117 | -2.547 | 144.5 |
42 | Kansas St | 16 | 13 | 14.376 | 7.723 | -6.652 | 101.1 |
43 | LSU | 20 | 10 | 14.374 | 4.444 | -9.930 | 127.5 |
44 | Oklahoma St | 15 | 15 | 13.847 | 5.044 | -8.803 | 142.0 |
45 | North Carolina | 16 | 14 | 13.653 | 12.413 | -1.241 | 138.1 |
46 | Texas Tech | 18 | 11 | 13.462 | 16.032 | 2.570 | 203.3 |
47 | Boston College | 20 | 12 | 13.361 | 14.406 | 1.045 | 167.8 |
48 | Nebraska | 17 | 13 | 13.292 | 9.202 | -4.090 | 59.0 |
49 | UCF | 20 | 10 | 13.089 | 2.208 | -10.882 | 150.8 |
50 | Michigan St | 16 | 14 | 12.990 | 9.437 | -3.553 | 141.6 |
51 | South Florida | 19 | 13 | 12.981 | 3.359 | -9.621 | 158.3 |
52 | Purdue | 18 | 14 | 12.897 | 4.444 | -8.453 | 117.2 |
53 | St John's | 19 | 12 | 12.814 | 11.866 | -0.949 | 122.6 |
54 | West Virginia | 17 | 12 | 12.775 | 3.119 | -9.656 | 114.3 |
55 | Syracuse | 16 | 15 | 12.686 | 9.385 | -3.302 | 143.0 |
56 | Virginia | 13 | 17 | 12.536 | 4.174 | -8.363 | 105.6 |
57 | Minnesota | 16 | 15 | 12.272 | 10.422 | -1.850 | 147.0 |
58 | S Dakota St | 22 | 10 | 12.155 | 4.799 | -7.356 | 126.7 |
59 | Penn | 19 | 7 | 11.639 | 3.748 | -7.891 | 137.1 |
60 | USC | 17 | 14 | 11.577 | 6.038 | -5.539 | 77.1 |
61 | Creighton | 19 | 11 | 11.572 | 5.480 | -6.091 | 80.0 |
62 | Cincinnati | 22 | 10 | 11.413 | 8.938 | -2.475 | 100.9 |
63 | Washington | 13 | 17 | 11.308 | 6.261 | -5.047 | 112.4 |
64 | Georgia | 17 | 14 | 11.301 | 4.023 | -7.279 | 154.6 |
65 | IUPUI | 22 | 8 | 11.288 | 5.342 | -5.946 | 86.9 |
66 | Washington St | 11 | 20 | 10.737 | 8.061 | -2.676 | 118.6 |
67 | Colorado | 16 | 14 | 10.339 | 4.097 | -6.242 | 125.9 |
68 | Northern Iowa | 17 | 11 | 10.291 | 5.810 | -4.480 | 118.8 |
69 | Old Dominion | 24 | 6 | 10.198 | 2.308 | -7.890 | 114.2 |
70 | Oklahoma | 12 | 18 | 10.143 | 16.596 | 6.453 | 160.2 |
71 | Montana St | 23 | 6 | 9.976 | 10.179 | 0.203 | 86.4 |
72 | Wake Forest | 16 | 16 | 9.830 | 6.132 | -3.698 | 157.2 |
73 | Dayton | 25 | 8 | 9.557 | 2.946 | -6.611 | 87.2 |
74 | Rice | 21 | 8 | 9.201 | 2.513 | -6.688 | 100.4 |
75 | Ohio | 19 | 11 | 8.968 | 9.830 | 0.862 | 66.4 |
76 | MTSU | 21 | 9 | 8.880 | 8.208 | -0.672 | 118.9 |
77 | Vanderbilt | 14 | 16 | 8.818 | 6.593 | -2.225 | 158.4 |
78 | WKU | 22 | 7 | 8.799 | 10.301 | 1.502 | 88.9 |
79 | Notre Dame | 13 | 18 | 8.765 | 6.069 | -2.696 | 163.7 |
80 | Utah | 14 | 17 | 8.665 | 8.852 | 0.188 | 129.7 |
81 | Yale | 19 | 8 | 8.323 | 5.488 | -2.835 | 154.0 |
82 | Miami FL | 15 | 15 | 8.284 | 4.512 | -3.772 | 133.1 |
83 | Bucknell | 24 | 6 | 8.219 | 0.197 | -8.022 | 115.5 |
84 | C Michigan | 23 | 7 | 8.189 | 12.443 | 4.254 | 110.8 |
85 | Bradley | 21 | 7 | 8.179 | 4.040 | -4.139 | 105.5 |
86 | S Illinois | 16 | 13 | 7.862 | 3.994 | -3.869 | 121.6 |
87 | Villanova | 18 | 13 | 7.813 | 0.387 | -7.426 | 146.2 |
88 | BYU | 17 | 11 | 7.646 | -4.311 | -11.958 | 80.1 |
89 | Illinois St | 18 | 10 | 7.573 | 4.892 | -2.681 | 85.8 |
90 | Fordham | 21 | 11 | 7.489 | -1.540 | -9.029 | 101.4 |
91 | Marist | 26 | 4 | 7.376 | 7.673 | 0.297 | 79.8 |
92 | California | 12 | 19 | 7.322 | 7.896 | 0.574 | 132.2 |
93 | Wisconsin | 12 | 19 | 7.286 | 4.514 | -2.773 | 60.5 |
94 | Kansas | 15 | 14 | 6.994 | 7.869 | 0.876 | 119.4 |
95 | TN Martin | 22 | 10 | 6.875 | 6.085 | -0.789 | 167.3 |
96 | Troy | 23 | 4 | 6.730 | 14.440 | 7.710 | 116.9 |
97 | Auburn | 11 | 18 | 6.598 | 7.906 | 1.308 | 136.2 |
98 | North Alabama | 19 | 9 | 6.370 | 7.926 | 1.556 | 132.3 |
99 | St Louis | 19 | 13 | 6.356 | -1.194 | -7.550 | 106.3 |
100 | Butler | 19 | 11 | 6.337 | 0.669 | -5.669 | 117.6 |
101 | UAB | 18 | 11 | 6.302 | 6.576 | 0.274 | 122.5 |
102 | WI Green Bay | 19 | 13 | 5.950 | 0.666 | -5.284 | 126.0 |
103 | Coastal Car | 23 | 4 | 5.755 | 8.621 | 2.866 | 133.6 |
104 | SF Austin | 20 | 6 | 5.697 | -0.269 | -5.966 | 198.8 |
105 | Boise St | 22 | 9 | 5.692 | 9.074 | 3.382 | 93.7 |
106 | Florida | 15 | 15 | 5.679 | 2.201 | -3.478 | 150.2 |
107 | Drexel | 23 | 7 | 5.576 | -3.510 | -9.086 | 130.2 |
108 | UT Arlington | 21 | 11 | 5.551 | 1.223 | -4.328 | 151.7 |
109 | Portland | 19 | 11 | 5.527 | 5.684 | 0.158 | 120.9 |
110 | Fresno St | 23 | 7 | 5.442 | 9.569 | 4.127 | 138.3 |
111 | Pacific | 17 | 14 | 5.342 | 5.883 | 0.541 | 105.6 |
112 | Missouri | 9 | 22 | 5.318 | 6.404 | 1.086 | 90.1 |
113 | Liberty | 20 | 11 | 4.975 | 4.425 | -0.551 | 139.8 |
114 | SE Missouri St | 23 | 7 | 4.841 | 7.201 | 2.360 | 149.0 |
115 | Duquesne | 20 | 11 | 4.778 | 6.785 | 2.007 | 126.1 |
116 | Belmont | 22 | 9 | 4.650 | -1.361 | -6.011 | 236.1 |
117 | William & Mary | 21 | 8 | 4.562 | 5.711 | 1.149 | 81.2 |
118 | Temple | 16 | 15 | 4.464 | 8.755 | 4.290 | 142.9 |
119 | Robert Morris | 22 | 7 | 4.358 | -2.514 | -6.872 | 124.3 |
120 | Columbia | 17 | 10 | 4.313 | 6.360 | 2.046 | 166.7 |
121 | VCU | 20 | 12 | 4.271 | -3.028 | -7.299 | 130.2 |
122 | Idaho | 22 | 9 | 4.226 | -0.693 | -4.919 | 128.5 |
123 | Ball St | 20 | 10 | 4.174 | 1.431 | -2.743 | 47.6 |
124 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 4.041 | -0.387 | -4.428 | 151.2 |
125 | Massachusetts | 19 | 11 | 3.557 | 2.013 | -1.544 | 157.5 |
126 | San Diego | 19 | 11 | 3.377 | -3.684 | -7.061 | 128.2 |
127 | Clemson | 8 | 23 | 3.199 | 0.232 | -2.967 | 121.8 |
128 | Buffalo | 19 | 12 | 3.198 | 3.289 | 0.091 | 96.2 |
129 | Kent | 18 | 11 | 2.991 | 4.264 | 1.273 | 69.5 |
130 | Loyola-Chicago | 15 | 14 | 2.840 | 1.126 | -1.714 | 92.8 |
131 | Valparaiso | 17 | 12 | 2.730 | 3.264 | 0.533 | 118.9 |
132 | Lehigh | 18 | 11 | 2.492 | 1.546 | -0.946 | 117.2 |
133 | Rider | 26 | 4 | 2.477 | 0.752 | -1.725 | 137.1 |
134 | UTEP | 16 | 14 | 2.326 | 5.131 | 2.805 | 155.2 |
135 | Harvard | 15 | 12 | 2.256 | -3.945 | -6.201 | 151.2 |
136 | Davidson | 15 | 15 | 2.066 | 2.995 | 0.929 | 90.6 |
137 | Providence | 13 | 19 | 1.898 | -2.805 | -4.704 | 146.8 |
138 | Tulane | 14 | 17 | 1.809 | -3.228 | -5.037 | 80.8 |
139 | Jacksonville | 16 | 12 | 1.768 | 3.863 | 2.096 | 89.8 |
140 | Elon | 13 | 16 | 1.746 | -0.927 | -2.673 | 151.8 |
141 | Idaho St | 16 | 13 | 1.720 | -1.101 | -2.822 | 115.6 |
142 | Wyoming | 16 | 12 | 1.703 | -2.262 | -3.965 | 182.8 |
143 | Abilene Chr | 20 | 5 | 1.637 | 9.542 | 7.905 | 113.4 |
144 | Stony Brook | 27 | 3 | 1.412 | -1.925 | -3.337 | 92.6 |
145 | Santa Clara | 11 | 19 | 1.405 | 4.468 | 3.063 | 137.8 |
146 | Colgate | 19 | 11 | 1.246 | 5.511 | 4.265 | 100.0 |
147 | Wright St | 18 | 12 | 1.169 | 2.552 | 1.383 | 149.8 |
148 | Holy Cross | 19 | 11 | 1.103 | 1.168 | 0.065 | 118.9 |
149 | W Michigan | 17 | 13 | 1.098 | 2.229 | 1.132 | 82.0 |
150 | TX Southern | 20 | 10 | 0.862 | 5.275 | 4.413 | 142.0 |
151 | Cornell | 10 | 16 | 0.647 | -0.593 | -1.240 | 94.3 |
152 | New Mexico | 14 | 17 | 0.619 | 9.376 | 8.756 | 192.0 |
153 | North Florida | 14 | 15 | 0.609 | -2.189 | -2.798 | 120.8 |
154 | Pepperdine | 14 | 15 | 0.572 | 1.748 | 1.176 | 143.2 |
155 | Penn St | 7 | 23 | 0.484 | 7.059 | 6.575 | 109.7 |
156 | Montana | 15 | 13 | 0.446 | 1.563 | 1.117 | 123.4 |
157 | UC Davis | 16 | 12 | 0.409 | 0.331 | -0.078 | 94.2 |
158 | Memphis | 14 | 17 | 0.276 | 3.703 | 3.427 | 158.9 |
159 | St Mary's CA | 12 | 19 | 0.270 | 6.879 | 6.610 | 102.2 |
160 | N Kentucky | 20 | 12 | 0.249 | 0.090 | -0.159 | 127.7 |
161 | Toledo | 14 | 17 | 0.215 | 0.882 | 0.666 | 114.0 |
162 | Akron | 15 | 15 | 0.199 | 0.147 | -0.052 | 86.0 |
163 | Bethune-Cookman | 21 | 6 | 0.127 | -0.825 | -0.951 | 127.8 |
164 | E Michigan | 15 | 15 | 0.065 | 0.103 | 0.038 | 116.9 |
165 | Samford | 17 | 14 | -0.058 | -0.100 | -0.042 | 175.8 |
166 | San Jose St | 18 | 12 | -0.070 | 7.519 | 7.589 | 128.9 |
167 | G Washington | 14 | 16 | -0.447 | -5.679 | -5.232 | 106.8 |
168 | Hawaii | 15 | 14 | -0.623 | -2.255 | -1.632 | 143.0 |
169 | Wichita St | 16 | 15 | -0.698 | 0.097 | 0.795 | 134.5 |
170 | North Texas | 10 | 18 | -0.813 | -0.047 | 0.766 | 117.7 |
171 | SMU | 13 | 16 | -0.865 | -4.869 | -4.004 | 92.6 |
172 | Towson | 13 | 15 | -0.947 | 3.205 | 4.153 | 104.9 |
173 | Richmond | 15 | 17 | -1.086 | -0.624 | 0.463 | 69.2 |
174 | Illinois | 11 | 19 | -1.119 | 0.987 | 2.105 | 73.4 |
175 | UNC Greensboro | 20 | 9 | -1.128 | -5.335 | -4.207 | 93.6 |
176 | Bowling Green | 8 | 21 | -1.144 | 6.005 | 7.149 | 145.1 |
177 | Rhode Island | 13 | 16 | -1.381 | -0.611 | 0.771 | 152.6 |
178 | N Illinois | 11 | 19 | -1.492 | 3.138 | 4.630 | 69.3 |
179 | Boston Univ | 18 | 12 | -1.524 | -5.964 | -4.440 | 91.5 |
180 | UNLV | 13 | 17 | -1.580 | -5.632 | -4.052 | 153.1 |
181 | Oral Roberts | 13 | 16 | -1.595 | 1.607 | 3.202 | 130.2 |
182 | E Illinois | 18 | 12 | -1.634 | -1.936 | -0.303 | 181.9 |
183 | San Francisco | 12 | 19 | -1.667 | 1.355 | 3.022 | 82.7 |
184 | Kennesaw | 11 | 16 | -1.769 | 4.202 | 5.971 | 103.2 |
185 | Georgetown | 5 | 25 | -1.774 | -4.510 | -2.736 | 52.4 |
186 | St Joseph's PA | 9 | 20 | -1.829 | -9.468 | -7.639 | 111.9 |
187 | Binghamton | 21 | 9 | -1.861 | -0.066 | 1.794 | 96.0 |
188 | NC A&T | 17 | 10 | -1.910 | -4.433 | -2.523 | 169.3 |
189 | TAM C. Christi | 20 | 7 | -1.936 | -7.478 | -5.541 | 106.5 |
190 | Xavier | 3 | 27 | -1.953 | -0.275 | 1.679 | 99.6 |
191 | Houston | 12 | 19 | -2.150 | -0.508 | 1.642 | 95.6 |
192 | Tennessee Tech | 15 | 13 | -2.172 | 1.661 | 3.833 | 109.7 |
193 | Northern Arizona | 16 | 15 | -2.235 | 4.971 | 7.206 | 102.1 |
194 | Northeastern | 13 | 16 | -2.394 | -1.024 | 1.370 | 106.1 |
195 | Delaware | 12 | 17 | -2.466 | -0.076 | 2.391 | 135.3 |
196 | Campbell | 19 | 8 | -2.470 | -8.868 | -6.398 | 161.8 |
197 | Sam Houston St | 16 | 10 | -2.494 | 5.650 | 8.144 | 143.8 |
198 | Merrimack | 18 | 9 | -2.634 | -2.217 | 0.417 | 113.0 |
199 | Cleveland St | 19 | 11 | -2.655 | -1.056 | 1.599 | 165.6 |
200 | Jackson St | 19 | 10 | -2.664 | 0.131 | 2.795 | 119.7 |
201 | Norfolk St | 18 | 11 | -2.765 | -3.068 | -0.303 | 129.2 |
202 | Nevada | 14 | 16 | -2.767 | 1.501 | 4.267 | 77.3 |
203 | Louisiana | 17 | 12 | -2.833 | -1.959 | 0.874 | 117.7 |
204 | Lafayette | 15 | 14 | -2.907 | -7.442 | -4.534 | 99.5 |
205 | Louisiana Tech | 13 | 15 | -2.977 | -0.260 | 2.717 | 155.7 |
206 | American Univ | 13 | 17 | -3.002 | -5.258 | -2.256 | 111.3 |
207 | South Alabama | 14 | 16 | -3.158 | 1.856 | 5.014 | 108.1 |
208 | Miami OH | 10 | 20 | -3.170 | 6.314 | 9.484 | 103.3 |
209 | Southern Utah | 18 | 13 | -3.503 | 3.070 | 6.572 | 99.0 |
210 | Denver | 14 | 15 | -3.522 | 10.925 | 14.448 | 122.5 |
211 | Austin Peay | 16 | 12 | -3.535 | 0.341 | 3.876 | 126.9 |
212 | Furman | 16 | 12 | -3.541 | -0.963 | 2.579 | 110.4 |
213 | Portland St | 15 | 16 | -3.667 | 2.073 | 5.739 | 172.0 |
214 | FL Atlantic | 13 | 17 | -3.691 | 1.725 | 5.416 | 136.4 |
215 | Colorado St | 10 | 18 | -3.699 | -6.454 | -2.755 | 77.8 |
216 | UC Santa Barbara | 13 | 15 | -3.839 | -5.200 | -1.360 | 68.2 |
217 | La Salle | 13 | 17 | -3.982 | -0.666 | 3.316 | 130.5 |
218 | Mt St Mary's | 19 | 11 | -4.049 | 0.029 | 4.078 | 133.0 |
219 | CS Fullerton | 17 | 14 | -4.146 | 2.231 | 6.377 | 104.4 |
220 | Pittsburgh | 5 | 26 | -4.164 | -2.688 | 1.477 | 72.6 |
221 | George Mason | 9 | 21 | -4.183 | -2.123 | 2.060 | 103.2 |
222 | Manhattan | 15 | 14 | -4.222 | -5.006 | -0.784 | 165.4 |
223 | Wofford | 12 | 15 | -4.369 | -0.962 | 3.407 | 129.6 |
224 | Gardner Webb | 18 | 11 | -4.527 | -1.171 | 3.356 | 99.2 |
225 | Missouri KC | 19 | 10 | -4.661 | -3.619 | 1.042 | 108.4 |
226 | Stetson | 9 | 18 | -4.802 | -6.792 | -1.990 | 107.3 |
227 | Quinnipiac | 15 | 14 | -4.817 | 1.956 | 6.774 | 118.6 |
228 | Radford | 17 | 12 | -4.819 | -6.799 | -1.980 | 136.9 |
229 | San Diego St | 13 | 17 | -4.842 | -2.600 | 2.242 | 90.7 |
230 | Hampton | 18 | 11 | -5.007 | -1.874 | 3.132 | 210.1 |
231 | Southern Miss | 13 | 15 | -5.098 | -1.784 | 3.313 | 104.9 |
232 | High Point | 16 | 13 | -5.332 | 2.620 | 7.951 | 176.3 |
233 | Marshall | 11 | 17 | -5.374 | -3.867 | 1.508 | 104.1 |
234 | Air Force | 9 | 21 | -5.394 | -4.285 | 1.109 | 118.8 |
235 | Southern Univ | 14 | 14 | -5.523 | -7.311 | -1.788 | 116.7 |
236 | UNC Wilmington | 9 | 19 | -5.557 | -6.662 | -1.105 | 161.6 |
237 | Alabama A&M | 17 | 13 | -5.587 | -5.836 | -0.248 | 62.5 |
238 | Maine | 17 | 14 | -5.622 | -3.253 | 2.369 | 128.9 |
239 | Loy Marymount | 6 | 25 | -5.733 | -0.642 | 5.091 | 83.6 |
240 | W Illinois | 12 | 15 | -5.763 | 5.624 | 11.388 | 99.4 |
241 | Tulsa | 9 | 21 | -5.891 | -5.316 | 0.575 | 96.5 |
242 | East Carolina | 9 | 21 | -5.928 | -6.602 | -0.674 | 75.7 |
243 | Fairfield | 16 | 14 | -5.971 | -8.767 | -2.796 | 188.2 |
244 | Jacksonville St | 12 | 16 | -6.284 | -8.564 | -2.279 | 147.3 |
245 | UC Irvine | 12 | 18 | -6.295 | 0.894 | 7.190 | 107.7 |
246 | N Colorado | 13 | 18 | -6.380 | -5.387 | 0.993 | 179.0 |
247 | N Dakota St | 9 | 19 | -6.419 | 0.503 | 6.922 | 55.5 |
248 | Ark Little Rock | 12 | 19 | -6.434 | -10.115 | -3.681 | 106.4 |
249 | SE Louisiana | 11 | 17 | -6.643 | -6.109 | 0.535 | 83.6 |
250 | CS Northridge | 11 | 19 | -6.826 | -7.466 | -0.640 | 107.5 |
251 | Morgan St | 15 | 13 | -7.013 | -6.934 | 0.080 | 88.7 |
252 | WI Milwaukee | 14 | 16 | -7.019 | -6.580 | 0.439 | 102.2 |
253 | Loyola MD | 8 | 22 | -7.111 | -4.699 | 2.412 | 113.7 |
254 | Mississippi | 7 | 23 | -7.139 | -6.971 | 0.168 | 154.3 |
255 | New Orleans | 15 | 12 | -7.308 | -3.093 | 4.215 | 110.2 |
256 | Long Beach St | 12 | 17 | -7.510 | -8.737 | -1.227 | 103.3 |
257 | North Dakota | 13 | 15 | -7.755 | 1.372 | 9.126 | 100.8 |
258 | Indiana St | 5 | 25 | -7.825 | -4.258 | 3.567 | 55.3 |
259 | Ga Southern | 10 | 20 | -7.853 | -0.358 | 7.494 | 169.0 |
260 | St Bonaventure | 7 | 23 | -7.897 | -5.786 | 2.111 | 80.8 |
261 | Appalachian St | 11 | 19 | -8.045 | -5.531 | 2.514 | 105.2 |
262 | Morehead St | 8 | 20 | -8.138 | -3.302 | 4.836 | 135.9 |
263 | Dartmouth | 10 | 17 | -8.247 | -7.263 | 0.984 | 99.7 |
264 | Cal Poly | 10 | 18 | -8.288 | -9.989 | -1.701 | 145.4 |
265 | Seattle | 10 | 16 | -8.447 | 0.017 | 8.463 | 143.9 |
266 | CS Bakersfield | 13 | 13 | -8.547 | -8.828 | -0.281 | 119.5 |
267 | Texas St | 11 | 17 | -8.667 | -5.290 | 3.377 | 96.7 |
268 | Utah St | 7 | 23 | -8.814 | -7.327 | 1.487 | 103.7 |
269 | Howard | 16 | 15 | -8.848 | 1.020 | 9.868 | 196.4 |
270 | Army | 9 | 22 | -8.861 | 0.061 | 8.922 | 106.4 |
271 | Utah Valley | 10 | 16 | -9.344 | -6.840 | 2.504 | 141.7 |
272 | UTRGV | 9 | 17 | -9.432 | -1.670 | 7.761 | 97.0 |
273 | Cal Baptist | 13 | 15 | -9.498 | 4.669 | 14.167 | 222.1 |
274 | UNC Asheville | 14 | 14 | -9.509 | -8.380 | 1.128 | 232.8 |
275 | Chattanooga | 11 | 18 | -9.525 | -8.042 | 1.483 | 173.8 |
276 | Longwood | 12 | 18 | -9.550 | 1.829 | 11.379 | 65.8 |
277 | Brown | 8 | 19 | -9.758 | -0.210 | 9.548 | 197.2 |
278 | Lipscomb | 6 | 23 | -9.919 | -2.165 | 7.754 | 82.8 |
279 | Navy | 6 | 23 | -9.933 | -11.417 | -1.484 | 122.7 |
280 | New Mexico St | 11 | 18 | -10.155 | -6.768 | 3.388 | 123.2 |
281 | Youngstown St | 11 | 17 | -10.173 | -2.457 | 7.716 | 180.8 |
282 | Oakland | 9 | 19 | -10.530 | -0.727 | 9.804 | 107.5 |
283 | Grand Canyon | 13 | 12 | -10.789 | -10.207 | 0.582 | 84.6 |
284 | Monmouth NJ | 9 | 22 | -10.916 | -14.187 | -3.271 | 100.0 |
285 | Nicholls St | 11 | 16 | -11.052 | -3.630 | 7.422 | 58.0 |
286 | Presbyterian | 10 | 18 | -11.150 | -9.921 | 1.229 | 145.6 |
287 | MA Lowell | 16 | 15 | -11.562 | -7.729 | 3.834 | 93.7 |
288 | UC Riverside | 8 | 22 | -11.711 | -5.825 | 5.887 | 111.8 |
289 | Col Charleston | 12 | 17 | -11.731 | 0.064 | 11.795 | 157.2 |
290 | Lamar | 8 | 19 | -11.789 | -8.485 | 3.304 | 118.2 |
291 | New Hampshire | 9 | 19 | -11.807 | -8.773 | 3.034 | 69.9 |
292 | NE Omaha | 5 | 23 | -11.895 | -7.911 | 3.984 | 81.7 |
293 | Arkansas St | 10 | 19 | -11.911 | -2.265 | 9.646 | 140.8 |
294 | Mercer | 7 | 23 | -11.920 | -6.774 | 5.146 | 89.8 |
295 | UMBC | 9 | 18 | -12.063 | -9.394 | 2.669 | 85.4 |
296 | Cent Arkansas | 10 | 16 | -12.331 | -12.534 | -0.203 | 149.1 |
297 | E Kentucky | 10 | 18 | -12.444 | -9.822 | 2.622 | 201.2 |
298 | SUNY Albany | 8 | 21 | -12.454 | -12.413 | 0.042 | 86.9 |
299 | Sacred Heart | 12 | 17 | -12.523 | -8.085 | 4.438 | 99.0 |
300 | NC Central | 12 | 16 | -12.644 | -2.096 | 10.549 | 114.0 |
301 | Delaware St | 10 | 18 | -12.696 | -5.869 | 6.827 | 98.8 |
302 | Incarnate Word | 10 | 15 | -12.913 | -10.699 | 2.215 | 171.7 |
303 | Vermont | 11 | 18 | -12.986 | -6.706 | 6.280 | 87.2 |
304 | F Dickinson | 13 | 17 | -13.039 | -11.114 | 1.925 | 80.3 |
305 | ETSU | 8 | 21 | -13.678 | -6.141 | 7.537 | 167.5 |
306 | CS Sacramento | 6 | 22 | -13.723 | 2.641 | 16.363 | 155.7 |
307 | Iona | 9 | 21 | -13.821 | -13.415 | 0.406 | 117.7 |
308 | Murray St | 12 | 16 | -13.885 | -1.450 | 12.435 | 257.2 |
309 | St Peter's | 9 | 21 | -14.372 | 1.368 | 15.740 | 126.1 |
310 | Niagara | 10 | 21 | -14.416 | -1.992 | 12.424 | 138.0 |
311 | Wagner | 9 | 20 | -14.632 | -8.122 | 6.510 | 112.5 |
312 | Florida Intl | 6 | 23 | -14.692 | -14.005 | 0.686 | 79.3 |
313 | Prairie View | 9 | 19 | -14.717 | -12.499 | 2.218 | 148.1 |
314 | Bryant | 10 | 20 | -14.803 | -10.325 | 4.478 | 127.0 |
315 | Siena | 11 | 20 | -14.803 | -10.164 | 4.639 | 195.8 |
316 | Georgia St | 8 | 21 | -14.879 | -9.453 | 5.427 | 131.2 |
317 | Winthrop | 11 | 19 | -14.887 | -9.989 | 4.898 | 183.4 |
318 | St Francis PA | 11 | 19 | -15.253 | -9.745 | 5.507 | 99.6 |
319 | Houston Bap | 6 | 21 | -15.437 | -7.278 | 8.159 | 127.2 |
320 | E Washington | 3 | 26 | -15.797 | -8.174 | 7.623 | 99.3 |
321 | Evansville | 2 | 26 | -15.813 | -7.859 | 7.954 | 141.7 |
322 | SIUE | 3 | 25 | -16.184 | -8.946 | 7.238 | 102.2 |
323 | Alcorn St | 11 | 18 | -16.428 | -6.797 | 9.631 | 175.4 |
324 | MD E Shore | 8 | 21 | -16.487 | -10.964 | 5.524 | 150.1 |
325 | LIU Brooklyn | 8 | 22 | -16.709 | -7.847 | 8.862 | 176.4 |
326 | St Francis NY | 7 | 21 | -16.717 | -2.773 | 13.944 | 163.5 |
327 | Central Conn | 4 | 25 | -17.386 | -9.457 | 7.929 | 77.5 |
328 | Hofstra | 3 | 27 | -17.558 | -11.877 | 5.681 | 116.4 |
329 | NJIT | 4 | 25 | -18.063 | -10.761 | 7.302 | 119.7 |
330 | Canisius | 5 | 25 | -18.244 | -5.470 | 12.774 | 136.9 |
331 | Weber St | 4 | 26 | -18.480 | -8.232 | 10.248 | 146.3 |
332 | ULM | 3 | 26 | -18.538 | -13.189 | 5.349 | 90.3 |
333 | Ark Pine Bluff | 6 | 22 | -18.891 | -8.323 | 10.568 | 131.1 |
334 | PFW | 3 | 24 | -19.109 | -10.923 | 8.186 | 75.3 |
335 | W Carolina | 3 | 25 | -19.114 | -11.885 | 7.229 | 100.5 |
336 | Hartford | 1 | 28 | -19.137 | -11.793 | 7.344 | 97.2 |
337 | Detroit | 3 | 27 | -19.334 | -7.442 | 11.892 | 111.3 |
338 | SC Upstate | 8 | 20 | -19.568 | -11.770 | 7.798 | 127.0 |
339 | Alabama St | 7 | 21 | -19.658 | -7.143 | 12.515 | 120.2 |
340 | UT San Antonio | 3 | 23 | -20.071 | -7.833 | 12.238 | 171.1 |
341 | Northwestern LA | 5 | 21 | -20.232 | -11.141 | 9.091 | 97.2 |
342 | Florida A&M | 4 | 21 | -20.420 | -11.697 | 8.723 | 93.8 |
343 | Grambling | 4 | 24 | -20.791 | -6.681 | 14.110 | 128.9 |
344 | McNeese St | 3 | 24 | -22.749 | -5.242 | 17.507 | 68.4 |
345 | Tennessee St | 2 | 24 | -22.768 | -8.235 | 14.534 | 171.2 |
346 | Charleston So | 2 | 26 | -24.213 | -14.123 | 10.090 | 119.9 |
347 | IL Chicago | 3 | 27 | -26.599 | -16.495 | 10.103 | 114.7 |
348 | Coppin St | 3 | 26 | -26.648 | -16.398 | 10.250 | 154.4 |
349 | S Carolina St | 3 | 27 | -28.310 | -15.301 | 13.010 | 154.7 |
350 | MS Valley St | 2 | 27 | -28.862 | -8.834 | 20.027 | 164.3 |
351 | Chicago St | 1 | 27 | -30.012 | -8.438 | 21.574 | 136.9 |
This is also pretty simple and useful, but approaches the problem in a different way. A small neural network is given raw game outcome data (team A defeated team B, not the score). The neural network learns which teams are better than others (more likely to win), and learns to predict winners of matchups. The Projected W% column shows the estimated winning percentage of each team if they played every other team an equal number of times.
Team | W | L | vs All W% | vs T40 W% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | South Carolina | 32 | 1 | 0.98846 | 0.90959 |
2 | Oregon | 31 | 2 | 0.98235 | 0.86983 |
3 | Baylor | 28 | 2 | 0.97713 | 0.83872 |
4 | Maryland | 28 | 4 | 0.96520 | 0.76914 |
5 | Connecticut | 29 | 3 | 0.96399 | 0.76246 |
6 | Princeton | 26 | 1 | 0.95562 | 0.71346 |
7 | Northwestern | 26 | 4 | 0.95307 | 0.70243 |
8 | Stanford | 27 | 6 | 0.95203 | 0.69196 |
9 | South Dakota | 29 | 2 | 0.94415 | 0.65520 |
10 | Louisville | 28 | 4 | 0.94408 | 0.65985 |
11 | UCLA | 26 | 5 | 0.94149 | 0.64682 |
12 | NC State | 28 | 4 | 0.93228 | 0.60222 |
13 | Indiana | 24 | 8 | 0.93016 | 0.58982 |
14 | Arizona | 24 | 7 | 0.92038 | 0.55564 |
15 | Missouri St | 25 | 4 | 0.91939 | 0.54971 |
16 | Mississippi St | 27 | 6 | 0.91930 | 0.54191 |
17 | Iowa | 23 | 7 | 0.91677 | 0.54833 |
18 | DePaul | 28 | 5 | 0.91670 | 0.53364 |
19 | Gonzaga | 28 | 3 | 0.90895 | 0.50679 |
20 | Oregon St | 23 | 9 | 0.90435 | 0.47933 |
21 | Ohio St | 21 | 12 | 0.89906 | 0.46900 |
22 | Florida St | 24 | 8 | 0.88388 | 0.42914 |
23 | FL Gulf Coast | 27 | 3 | 0.88236 | 0.41108 |
24 | Texas A&M | 22 | 8 | 0.87745 | 0.39798 |
25 | Michigan | 21 | 11 | 0.87732 | 0.39067 |
26 | TCU | 22 | 7 | 0.87729 | 0.39721 |
27 | Kentucky | 22 | 8 | 0.87665 | 0.39658 |
28 | Rutgers | 22 | 9 | 0.86928 | 0.37236 |
29 | Marquette | 24 | 8 | 0.86669 | 0.35567 |
30 | Arkansas | 24 | 8 | 0.86450 | 0.35901 |
31 | Drake | 21 | 8 | 0.85127 | 0.31759 |
32 | James Madison | 25 | 4 | 0.84986 | 0.31492 |
33 | Arizona St | 20 | 11 | 0.84328 | 0.31224 |
34 | LSU | 20 | 10 | 0.83740 | 0.30337 |
35 | Texas | 19 | 11 | 0.83600 | 0.31151 |
36 | Purdue | 18 | 14 | 0.83591 | 0.29459 |
37 | Virginia Tech | 21 | 9 | 0.82747 | 0.27162 |
38 | Tennessee | 21 | 10 | 0.82320 | 0.25019 |
39 | Duke | 18 | 12 | 0.82180 | 0.26914 |
40 | Iowa St | 18 | 11 | 0.81348 | 0.24928 |
41 | Bradley | 21 | 7 | 0.81224 | 0.23874 |
42 | C Michigan | 23 | 7 | 0.80876 | 0.24611 |
43 | Creighton | 19 | 11 | 0.80525 | 0.24061 |
44 | Georgia Tech | 20 | 11 | 0.80037 | 0.23241 |
45 | West Virginia | 17 | 12 | 0.79901 | 0.24174 |
46 | Nebraska | 17 | 13 | 0.79535 | 0.20990 |
47 | USC | 17 | 14 | 0.79381 | 0.21331 |
48 | Troy | 23 | 4 | 0.79136 | 0.20397 |
49 | Boston College | 20 | 12 | 0.79056 | 0.21355 |
50 | Michigan St | 16 | 14 | 0.78761 | 0.21648 |
51 | Marist | 26 | 4 | 0.78453 | 0.20778 |
52 | WKU | 22 | 7 | 0.78329 | 0.19739 |
53 | Seton Hall | 19 | 12 | 0.78320 | 0.20343 |
54 | Dayton | 25 | 8 | 0.78058 | 0.18497 |
55 | Alabama | 18 | 12 | 0.77542 | 0.19439 |
56 | Minnesota | 16 | 15 | 0.77529 | 0.19148 |
57 | Georgia | 17 | 14 | 0.77386 | 0.19781 |
58 | St John's | 19 | 12 | 0.77313 | 0.18920 |
59 | Butler | 19 | 11 | 0.77160 | 0.18373 |
60 | Cincinnati | 22 | 10 | 0.77110 | 0.16751 |
61 | Kansas St | 16 | 13 | 0.76996 | 0.18912 |
62 | Northern Iowa | 17 | 11 | 0.76808 | 0.19082 |
63 | Old Dominion | 24 | 6 | 0.76688 | 0.17968 |
64 | Texas Tech | 18 | 11 | 0.76662 | 0.18303 |
65 | Penn | 19 | 7 | 0.76231 | 0.16614 |
66 | UCF | 20 | 10 | 0.76140 | 0.16682 |
67 | Colorado | 16 | 14 | 0.76126 | 0.17223 |
68 | Drexel | 23 | 7 | 0.76033 | 0.16830 |
69 | Stony Brook | 27 | 3 | 0.75956 | 0.16981 |
70 | S Dakota St | 22 | 10 | 0.75822 | 0.16685 |
71 | Syracuse | 16 | 15 | 0.75715 | 0.18105 |
72 | MTSU | 21 | 9 | 0.75326 | 0.16052 |
73 | Illinois St | 18 | 10 | 0.75092 | 0.16185 |
74 | Virginia | 13 | 17 | 0.74833 | 0.15748 |
75 | Oklahoma St | 15 | 15 | 0.74697 | 0.15788 |
76 | Villanova | 18 | 13 | 0.74085 | 0.16151 |
77 | Yale | 19 | 8 | 0.73587 | 0.14931 |
78 | Bucknell | 24 | 6 | 0.73580 | 0.15007 |
79 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 0.72432 | 0.13188 |
80 | Rider | 26 | 4 | 0.72217 | 0.13111 |
81 | Belmont | 22 | 9 | 0.72201 | 0.13222 |
82 | Utah | 14 | 17 | 0.72188 | 0.13911 |
83 | Rice | 21 | 8 | 0.71922 | 0.12285 |
84 | Coastal Car | 23 | 4 | 0.71693 | 0.12880 |
85 | Ohio | 19 | 11 | 0.71472 | 0.12694 |
86 | South Florida | 19 | 13 | 0.71463 | 0.12154 |
87 | Kansas | 15 | 14 | 0.71435 | 0.12155 |
88 | IUPUI | 22 | 8 | 0.71350 | 0.12138 |
89 | Montana St | 23 | 6 | 0.71179 | 0.11810 |
90 | Ball St | 20 | 10 | 0.71039 | 0.11850 |
91 | North Carolina | 16 | 14 | 0.70985 | 0.12405 |
92 | Valparaiso | 17 | 12 | 0.70686 | 0.11629 |
93 | Kent | 18 | 11 | 0.69690 | 0.11183 |
94 | Miami FL | 15 | 15 | 0.69605 | 0.10926 |
95 | Oklahoma | 12 | 18 | 0.69543 | 0.11851 |
96 | Wake Forest | 16 | 16 | 0.69328 | 0.12226 |
97 | TN Martin | 22 | 10 | 0.69313 | 0.09700 |
98 | Notre Dame | 13 | 18 | 0.69291 | 0.12663 |
99 | SE Missouri St | 23 | 7 | 0.68319 | 0.10585 |
100 | Florida | 15 | 15 | 0.68279 | 0.10424 |
101 | Fordham | 21 | 11 | 0.68113 | 0.09580 |
102 | Washington St | 11 | 20 | 0.67841 | 0.09288 |
103 | S Illinois | 16 | 13 | 0.67618 | 0.09954 |
104 | St Louis | 19 | 13 | 0.67368 | 0.09511 |
105 | VCU | 20 | 12 | 0.67261 | 0.09310 |
106 | Vanderbilt | 14 | 16 | 0.66874 | 0.09743 |
107 | Wisconsin | 12 | 19 | 0.66671 | 0.08464 |
108 | California | 12 | 19 | 0.66455 | 0.09706 |
109 | William & Mary | 21 | 8 | 0.66349 | 0.09176 |
110 | Abilene Chr | 20 | 5 | 0.65972 | 0.08853 |
111 | Fresno St | 23 | 7 | 0.65802 | 0.08613 |
112 | Auburn | 11 | 18 | 0.65178 | 0.07703 |
113 | Washington | 13 | 17 | 0.65049 | 0.09543 |
114 | BYU | 17 | 11 | 0.64887 | 0.08447 |
115 | Boise St | 22 | 9 | 0.64319 | 0.08135 |
116 | Buffalo | 19 | 12 | 0.64245 | 0.08381 |
117 | Columbia | 17 | 10 | 0.64170 | 0.08475 |
118 | Liberty | 20 | 11 | 0.64166 | 0.07910 |
119 | Temple | 16 | 15 | 0.63840 | 0.08345 |
120 | SF Austin | 20 | 6 | 0.63126 | 0.07258 |
121 | Portland | 19 | 11 | 0.62839 | 0.07444 |
122 | UAB | 18 | 11 | 0.62826 | 0.07360 |
123 | Bethune-Cookman | 21 | 6 | 0.62121 | 0.06796 |
124 | Loyola-Chicago | 15 | 14 | 0.62007 | 0.06580 |
125 | TAM C. Christi | 20 | 7 | 0.61689 | 0.06911 |
126 | Duquesne | 20 | 11 | 0.61340 | 0.06275 |
127 | Idaho | 22 | 9 | 0.61331 | 0.06817 |
128 | WI Green Bay | 19 | 13 | 0.61236 | 0.07093 |
129 | UT Arlington | 21 | 11 | 0.60638 | 0.06596 |
130 | Harvard | 15 | 12 | 0.60515 | 0.06608 |
131 | San Diego | 19 | 11 | 0.60308 | 0.06220 |
132 | W Michigan | 17 | 13 | 0.60035 | 0.06186 |
133 | Illinois | 11 | 19 | 0.58284 | 0.05087 |
134 | Robert Morris | 22 | 7 | 0.58278 | 0.05223 |
135 | North Alabama | 19 | 9 | 0.57846 | 0.05675 |
136 | Colgate | 19 | 11 | 0.57701 | 0.05115 |
137 | Lehigh | 18 | 11 | 0.57634 | 0.05375 |
138 | Toledo | 14 | 17 | 0.57342 | 0.05916 |
139 | Davidson | 15 | 15 | 0.57282 | 0.04880 |
140 | Massachusetts | 19 | 11 | 0.57276 | 0.05089 |
141 | E Michigan | 15 | 15 | 0.57222 | 0.05233 |
142 | Wichita St | 16 | 15 | 0.57032 | 0.04959 |
143 | TX Southern | 20 | 10 | 0.56485 | 0.05075 |
144 | Holy Cross | 19 | 11 | 0.56392 | 0.04720 |
145 | Boston Univ | 18 | 12 | 0.56039 | 0.04724 |
146 | Providence | 13 | 19 | 0.55974 | 0.04627 |
147 | G Washington | 14 | 16 | 0.55517 | 0.05161 |
148 | Tulane | 14 | 17 | 0.54794 | 0.04546 |
149 | Akron | 15 | 15 | 0.54500 | 0.04384 |
150 | Pacific | 17 | 14 | 0.54353 | 0.04654 |
151 | North Florida | 14 | 15 | 0.54276 | 0.04712 |
152 | Richmond | 15 | 17 | 0.53841 | 0.04220 |
153 | N Illinois | 11 | 19 | 0.53419 | 0.03724 |
154 | UNC Greensboro | 20 | 9 | 0.52811 | 0.04120 |
155 | Missouri | 9 | 22 | 0.52603 | 0.04141 |
156 | Wright St | 18 | 12 | 0.52443 | 0.03918 |
157 | Austin Peay | 16 | 12 | 0.52073 | 0.03494 |
158 | Northeastern | 13 | 16 | 0.51880 | 0.03611 |
159 | Jacksonville | 16 | 12 | 0.51146 | 0.03417 |
160 | San Jose St | 18 | 12 | 0.51075 | 0.03518 |
161 | Memphis | 14 | 17 | 0.50973 | 0.03869 |
162 | N Kentucky | 20 | 12 | 0.50834 | 0.03540 |
163 | Wyoming | 16 | 12 | 0.49675 | 0.03490 |
164 | Samford | 17 | 14 | 0.49629 | 0.03483 |
165 | Sam Houston St | 16 | 10 | 0.49482 | 0.03026 |
166 | Pepperdine | 14 | 15 | 0.49307 | 0.03173 |
167 | E Illinois | 18 | 12 | 0.49300 | 0.03183 |
168 | Binghamton | 21 | 9 | 0.49043 | 0.03283 |
169 | Cleveland St | 19 | 11 | 0.48600 | 0.02984 |
170 | Jackson St | 19 | 10 | 0.48587 | 0.03171 |
171 | La Salle | 13 | 17 | 0.48356 | 0.03012 |
172 | Norfolk St | 18 | 11 | 0.48252 | 0.03068 |
173 | Campbell | 19 | 8 | 0.48147 | 0.03028 |
174 | Lafayette | 15 | 14 | 0.47276 | 0.02782 |
175 | Houston | 12 | 19 | 0.47268 | 0.02741 |
176 | Elon | 13 | 16 | 0.47235 | 0.02695 |
177 | Furman | 16 | 12 | 0.47225 | 0.03056 |
178 | Oral Roberts | 13 | 16 | 0.47107 | 0.02726 |
179 | Towson | 13 | 15 | 0.46921 | 0.02784 |
180 | UTEP | 16 | 14 | 0.46609 | 0.02630 |
181 | Rhode Island | 13 | 16 | 0.46371 | 0.02601 |
182 | NC A&T | 17 | 10 | 0.46368 | 0.02889 |
183 | UC Davis | 16 | 12 | 0.46096 | 0.02743 |
184 | Idaho St | 16 | 13 | 0.46050 | 0.02804 |
185 | Tennessee Tech | 15 | 13 | 0.46038 | 0.02665 |
186 | Hampton | 18 | 11 | 0.45977 | 0.02636 |
187 | SMU | 13 | 16 | 0.45966 | 0.02882 |
188 | Louisiana | 17 | 12 | 0.45732 | 0.02572 |
189 | St Mary's CA | 12 | 19 | 0.45604 | 0.02609 |
190 | Miami OH | 10 | 20 | 0.45439 | 0.02298 |
191 | Clemson | 8 | 23 | 0.45249 | 0.02875 |
192 | Montana | 15 | 13 | 0.44964 | 0.02367 |
193 | WI Milwaukee | 14 | 16 | 0.44748 | 0.02476 |
194 | W Illinois | 12 | 15 | 0.44728 | 0.02370 |
195 | Maine | 17 | 14 | 0.44691 | 0.02595 |
196 | San Francisco | 12 | 19 | 0.44385 | 0.02436 |
197 | Santa Clara | 11 | 19 | 0.44302 | 0.02598 |
198 | Northern Arizona | 16 | 15 | 0.44182 | 0.02459 |
199 | Hawaii | 15 | 14 | 0.44140 | 0.02449 |
200 | Delaware | 12 | 17 | 0.44052 | 0.02418 |
201 | American Univ | 13 | 17 | 0.44018 | 0.02464 |
202 | Southern Miss | 13 | 15 | 0.43889 | 0.02224 |
203 | Penn St | 7 | 23 | 0.43710 | 0.02445 |
204 | Merrimack | 18 | 9 | 0.43582 | 0.02305 |
205 | Missouri KC | 19 | 10 | 0.43401 | 0.02239 |
206 | Mt St Mary's | 19 | 11 | 0.43303 | 0.02399 |
207 | Dartmouth | 10 | 17 | 0.43182 | 0.02221 |
208 | FL Atlantic | 13 | 17 | 0.42943 | 0.02177 |
209 | New Orleans | 15 | 12 | 0.42879 | 0.02167 |
210 | South Alabama | 14 | 16 | 0.42853 | 0.02229 |
211 | Southern Utah | 18 | 13 | 0.42815 | 0.02221 |
212 | Gardner Webb | 18 | 11 | 0.42678 | 0.02222 |
213 | UNLV | 13 | 17 | 0.42319 | 0.02244 |
214 | North Dakota | 13 | 15 | 0.42116 | 0.02142 |
215 | Radford | 17 | 12 | 0.41689 | 0.02111 |
216 | Cornell | 10 | 16 | 0.41397 | 0.01952 |
217 | St Joseph's PA | 9 | 20 | 0.41370 | 0.01993 |
218 | Quinnipiac | 15 | 14 | 0.41318 | 0.02051 |
219 | Portland St | 15 | 16 | 0.41122 | 0.02147 |
220 | Louisiana Tech | 13 | 15 | 0.41111 | 0.02145 |
221 | Manhattan | 15 | 14 | 0.40854 | 0.01788 |
222 | New Mexico | 14 | 17 | 0.40729 | 0.02055 |
223 | Bowling Green | 8 | 21 | 0.40223 | 0.01901 |
224 | Tulsa | 9 | 21 | 0.39513 | 0.01745 |
225 | East Carolina | 9 | 21 | 0.39440 | 0.01850 |
226 | High Point | 16 | 13 | 0.39304 | 0.01765 |
227 | Kennesaw | 11 | 16 | 0.39154 | 0.01703 |
228 | CS Fullerton | 17 | 14 | 0.38975 | 0.01939 |
229 | Nevada | 14 | 16 | 0.38936 | 0.01711 |
230 | Marshall | 11 | 17 | 0.38812 | 0.01963 |
231 | Denver | 14 | 15 | 0.38662 | 0.01813 |
232 | Fairfield | 16 | 14 | 0.37963 | 0.01638 |
233 | George Mason | 9 | 21 | 0.37745 | 0.01652 |
234 | Ark Little Rock | 12 | 19 | 0.37081 | 0.01559 |
235 | N Colorado | 13 | 18 | 0.36372 | 0.01632 |
236 | North Texas | 10 | 18 | 0.36330 | 0.01586 |
237 | San Diego St | 13 | 17 | 0.35915 | 0.01486 |
238 | Jacksonville St | 12 | 16 | 0.35670 | 0.01570 |
239 | N Dakota St | 9 | 19 | 0.35614 | 0.01357 |
240 | Chattanooga | 11 | 18 | 0.35365 | 0.01590 |
241 | Murray St | 12 | 16 | 0.35113 | 0.01420 |
242 | Alabama A&M | 17 | 13 | 0.35031 | 0.01407 |
243 | Southern Univ | 14 | 14 | 0.34972 | 0.01297 |
244 | Georgetown | 5 | 25 | 0.34914 | 0.01299 |
245 | MA Lowell | 16 | 15 | 0.34721 | 0.01307 |
246 | UC Santa Barbara | 13 | 15 | 0.34495 | 0.01359 |
247 | Stetson | 9 | 18 | 0.34087 | 0.01362 |
248 | Texas St | 11 | 17 | 0.33972 | 0.01430 |
249 | Morgan St | 15 | 13 | 0.33360 | 0.01320 |
250 | Youngstown St | 11 | 17 | 0.33245 | 0.01273 |
251 | CS Bakersfield | 13 | 13 | 0.33208 | 0.01404 |
252 | Grand Canyon | 13 | 12 | 0.33047 | 0.01216 |
253 | Long Beach St | 12 | 17 | 0.33028 | 0.01342 |
254 | Wofford | 12 | 15 | 0.32914 | 0.01252 |
255 | Howard | 16 | 15 | 0.32687 | 0.01247 |
256 | Col Charleston | 12 | 17 | 0.32660 | 0.01220 |
257 | UC Irvine | 12 | 18 | 0.32634 | 0.01248 |
258 | CS Northridge | 11 | 19 | 0.32377 | 0.01230 |
259 | Brown | 8 | 19 | 0.32048 | 0.01232 |
260 | Pittsburgh | 5 | 26 | 0.31915 | 0.01162 |
261 | Arkansas St | 10 | 19 | 0.31536 | 0.01197 |
262 | Appalachian St | 11 | 19 | 0.31316 | 0.01212 |
263 | UNC Asheville | 14 | 14 | 0.30627 | 0.01064 |
264 | Colorado St | 10 | 18 | 0.30530 | 0.01070 |
265 | UNC Wilmington | 9 | 19 | 0.30508 | 0.01113 |
266 | St Bonaventure | 7 | 23 | 0.30338 | 0.01116 |
267 | Cent Arkansas | 10 | 16 | 0.30267 | 0.01053 |
268 | Army | 9 | 22 | 0.30178 | 0.01020 |
269 | SE Louisiana | 11 | 17 | 0.29598 | 0.01024 |
270 | Air Force | 9 | 21 | 0.29577 | 0.01075 |
271 | Nicholls St | 11 | 16 | 0.29000 | 0.00989 |
272 | Xavier | 3 | 27 | 0.28863 | 0.00974 |
273 | Cal Poly | 10 | 18 | 0.28833 | 0.00970 |
274 | E Kentucky | 10 | 18 | 0.28809 | 0.01022 |
275 | Oakland | 9 | 19 | 0.28355 | 0.00903 |
276 | Loyola MD | 8 | 22 | 0.28319 | 0.00960 |
277 | Mississippi | 7 | 23 | 0.27849 | 0.00878 |
278 | Cal Baptist | 13 | 15 | 0.27764 | 0.00985 |
279 | Incarnate Word | 10 | 15 | 0.27181 | 0.00991 |
280 | Loy Marymount | 6 | 25 | 0.26744 | 0.00899 |
281 | Ga Southern | 10 | 20 | 0.26095 | 0.00850 |
282 | NC Central | 12 | 16 | 0.25752 | 0.00858 |
283 | Indiana St | 5 | 25 | 0.25694 | 0.00819 |
284 | Longwood | 12 | 18 | 0.25337 | 0.00808 |
285 | Seattle | 10 | 16 | 0.25236 | 0.00740 |
286 | Lipscomb | 6 | 23 | 0.25209 | 0.00761 |
287 | ETSU | 8 | 21 | 0.24628 | 0.00733 |
288 | Siena | 11 | 20 | 0.24551 | 0.00715 |
289 | Morehead St | 8 | 20 | 0.24455 | 0.00803 |
290 | Iona | 9 | 21 | 0.24440 | 0.00791 |
291 | Utah St | 7 | 23 | 0.24339 | 0.00746 |
292 | Navy | 6 | 23 | 0.23927 | 0.00743 |
293 | Lamar | 8 | 19 | 0.23778 | 0.00734 |
294 | UC Riverside | 8 | 22 | 0.23417 | 0.00713 |
295 | New Mexico St | 11 | 18 | 0.23318 | 0.00680 |
296 | Utah Valley | 10 | 16 | 0.23249 | 0.00715 |
297 | Delaware St | 10 | 18 | 0.22636 | 0.00668 |
298 | Presbyterian | 10 | 18 | 0.22607 | 0.00668 |
299 | Niagara | 10 | 21 | 0.22382 | 0.00628 |
300 | Sacred Heart | 12 | 17 | 0.22127 | 0.00616 |
301 | New Hampshire | 9 | 19 | 0.22008 | 0.00622 |
302 | Winthrop | 11 | 19 | 0.21657 | 0.00647 |
303 | St Francis PA | 11 | 19 | 0.21627 | 0.00628 |
304 | Vermont | 11 | 18 | 0.21612 | 0.00605 |
305 | Monmouth NJ | 9 | 22 | 0.21609 | 0.00630 |
306 | F Dickinson | 13 | 17 | 0.21550 | 0.00614 |
307 | UTRGV | 9 | 17 | 0.21506 | 0.00641 |
308 | UMBC | 9 | 18 | 0.20959 | 0.00628 |
309 | Prairie View | 9 | 19 | 0.20635 | 0.00584 |
310 | CS Sacramento | 6 | 22 | 0.20480 | 0.00583 |
311 | Mercer | 7 | 23 | 0.19950 | 0.00542 |
312 | Florida Intl | 6 | 23 | 0.19515 | 0.00530 |
313 | NE Omaha | 5 | 23 | 0.19195 | 0.00533 |
314 | Alcorn St | 11 | 18 | 0.18788 | 0.00472 |
315 | Georgia St | 8 | 21 | 0.18684 | 0.00515 |
316 | St Peter's | 9 | 21 | 0.17487 | 0.00470 |
317 | MD E Shore | 8 | 21 | 0.17264 | 0.00495 |
318 | Bryant | 10 | 20 | 0.16836 | 0.00434 |
319 | SUNY Albany | 8 | 21 | 0.16078 | 0.00426 |
320 | Wagner | 9 | 20 | 0.15661 | 0.00407 |
321 | UT San Antonio | 3 | 23 | 0.15458 | 0.00406 |
322 | SC Upstate | 8 | 20 | 0.15002 | 0.00375 |
323 | Houston Bap | 6 | 21 | 0.14284 | 0.00370 |
324 | St Francis NY | 7 | 21 | 0.14087 | 0.00355 |
325 | Alabama St | 7 | 21 | 0.14062 | 0.00345 |
326 | Weber St | 4 | 26 | 0.13619 | 0.00328 |
327 | LIU Brooklyn | 8 | 22 | 0.13000 | 0.00333 |
328 | E Washington | 3 | 26 | 0.12832 | 0.00313 |
329 | Canisius | 5 | 25 | 0.12815 | 0.00307 |
330 | Ark Pine Bluff | 6 | 22 | 0.12256 | 0.00303 |
331 | Detroit | 3 | 27 | 0.11610 | 0.00301 |
332 | NJIT | 4 | 25 | 0.11396 | 0.00290 |
333 | Hofstra | 3 | 27 | 0.11350 | 0.00263 |
334 | Northwestern LA | 5 | 21 | 0.10541 | 0.00256 |
335 | PFW | 3 | 24 | 0.09380 | 0.00219 |
336 | IL Chicago | 3 | 27 | 0.09211 | 0.00220 |
337 | W Carolina | 3 | 25 | 0.09005 | 0.00220 |
338 | SIUE | 3 | 25 | 0.08819 | 0.00202 |
339 | Evansville | 2 | 26 | 0.08150 | 0.00189 |
340 | Tennessee St | 2 | 24 | 0.07957 | 0.00186 |
341 | Florida A&M | 4 | 21 | 0.07851 | 0.00195 |
342 | Grambling | 4 | 24 | 0.07420 | 0.00181 |
343 | Central Conn | 4 | 25 | 0.06854 | 0.00158 |
344 | McNeese St | 3 | 24 | 0.06851 | 0.00163 |
345 | ULM | 3 | 26 | 0.06349 | 0.00154 |
346 | Coppin St | 3 | 26 | 0.05587 | 0.00141 |
347 | Charleston So | 2 | 26 | 0.04600 | 0.00117 |
348 | S Carolina St | 3 | 27 | 0.04580 | 0.00112 |
349 | MS Valley St | 2 | 27 | 0.03396 | 0.00089 |
350 | Chicago St | 1 | 27 | 0.03199 | 0.00088 |
351 | Hartford | 1 | 28 | 0.02113 | 0.00066 |